Thursday, April 30, 2009

Starbucks Reports Same-Store Sales Down 8%


Decrease Is Improvement Over Previous Quarter; Touts Strong Sales of Via Instant-Coffee Product


Published:
April 29, 2009

CHICAGO (AdAge.com) -- Starbucks promised new marketing, expanded value offerings and more cost savings to dig itself out of a financial morass. The company reported second-quarter earnings down 77%, primarily due to restructuring charges, and same-store sales down 8%. While the year-over-year decline in traffic is significant, it's a slight improvement from last quarter's 9% same-store sales decrease, which was a 10% decrease in the U.S.

CEO Howard Schultz cautioned that it's too early to call the slight improvement a trend. "The global economy continues to be weak," he said, "and we're conservative in our view of any significant recovery in '09, particularly in light of rising unemployment, foreclosures and other key economic indicators."

The call wasn't entirely devoid of good news, however. Via, Starbucks' "superpremium" entry into the instant-coffee market, is ahead of expectations in all channels. Starbucks, as first reported by Ad Age, began testing the product in company stores in Seattle, Chicago and London last month. The test expanded to include Target, Costco and some Barnes & Noble stores in U.S. markets earlier this month and, later, Britain's Easy Jet airline. Not only are the products selling, but repeat customers are trading up from packs of three to packs of 12.

Tuesday, April 28, 2009

Swine Flu

Whoops. Who let the pigs out!


The human swine flu outbreak continues to grow in the United States and internationally. Today, CDC reports additional cases of confirmed swine influenza and a number of hospitalizations of swine flu patients. Internationally, the situation is more serious too, with additional countries reporting confirmed cases of swine flu. In response to the intensifying outbreak, the World Health Organization raised the worldwide pandemic alert level to Phase 4External Web Site Policy.. A Phase 4 alert is characterized by confirmed person-to-person spread of a new influenza virus able to cause “community-level” outbreaks.” The increase in the pandemic alert phase indicates that the likelihood of a pandemic has increased.

CDC has activated its emergency operations center to coordinate the agency’s emergency response. CDC ’s goals are to reduce transmission and illness severity, and provide information to help health care providers, public health officials and the public address the challenges posed by this swine influenza virus. Yesterday, CDC issued a travel warning recommending that people avoid non-essential travel to Mexico. CDC continues to issue interim guidance daily on the website and through health alert network notices. CDC’s Division of the Strategic National Stockpile (SNS) is releasing one-quarter of its antiviral drugs, personal protective equipment, and respiratory protection devices to help states respond to the outbreak. The swine influenza A (H1N1) virus is susceptible to the prescription antiviral drugs oseltamivir and zanamivir. This is a rapidly evolving situation and CDC will provide updated guidance and new information as it becomes available.

Recall from 2008

Sorry for the delay, its been some time since my last post. This is a photograph taken on set from the Carelift International shoot sometime in 2008 that several of you may remember being a part of.

Wednesday, April 15, 2009

The Death of Consumer Segmentation?

Rethinking a Traditional Marketing Tool

Michael Fassnacht
Michael Fassnacht

One of the most important paradigms governing today's marketing world is the constant drive to better segment a brand's customer and prospect base. Conventional wisdom says that the better we segment consumers, the better we can market to them. Consumer segmentation is viewed as a "best-in-class" practice across the marketing world.

But are we on the right track?

Consider a large, well-known fashion retailer that put a significant amount of effort into segmenting its consumer base by using geo-demographics, shopping behavior and lifetime value. Built in several years with considerable funds, this capability was designed to ensure higher messaging relevance for any communication between the brand and consumers -- the belief being that the higher return of the targeted communication would compensate for the vast investment that enabled the marketing team to micro-segment its consumer base whenever it wished.

The unpredictability effect
I am challenging that belief based on three observations. The first is that the rather static definition of consumer segments is becoming less reliable in our extremely volatile society, especially in today's economic climate. A consumer's lifetime value may have decreased significantly in the past six months, a fact not reflected by any segmentation method. A person might be out of a purchase cycle for a particular product because of a significant household change (divorce, first child) or into the purchase cycle of something previously unthinkable (a Madonna CD, hybrid car). These life-changing events are becoming more difficult to predict because consumers live their lives on a much less traditional path than they did 10 or 20 years ago.

Second, consumers are never just part of one segment. Rather, they feel, rightfully, that they belong to a multitude of segments. They can be the professional executive in the morning, the boyish sports fan in the evening, the churchgoing father figure on Sunday. All three are the same human being, but represent three different consumers and mindsets. This individual belongs to three segments with different behavior patterns, product affinities and interests -- depending on the time of day or the day of the week. This is particularly true for the growing multicultural groups in the U.S. who are moving through several segment identities every single day.

Finally, consumers are gaining more control of any marketing activity. And they like it. Yes, they like to receive relevant information, but even more, they prefer to choose their own relevant information. And in truth, it's easier to let them choose and decide what is relevant for them than to predict relevance based on any expensively calculated segment identity. This is a plea to marketers for a stronger focus on enabling the consumer to self-segment.

ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Michael Fassnacht, exec VP-chief customer intelligence officer, DraftFCB, is a data guru with more than two decades of experience in marketing strategy, analytics and relationship marketing. He blogs at marketinggeek.blogspot.com.

For the fashion brand retailer described earlier, this would mean a greater focus on following in the footsteps of Amazon in recommending segment identities by correlating the interest in one product to another. An investment in a smart product-affinity recommendation engine could be more worthwhile than spending huge dollars against micro-segmenting the consumer base.

Experts in relevance
It's not surprising that two of the most successful product and retail companies, Apple and Amazon, are not masters of consumer segmentation but experts in building relevant products that consumers choose. Their marketing communication is segment-based but does not depend on pursuing an ever-increasing level of micro-segment-specific relevance. They are far more focused on building and communicating relevance relationships than in micro-segmenting consumers by any kind of attributes. Facebook, MySpace and even Google are behaving similarly. They are enablers of self-segmentation and self-identification through group and interest identities. They do not place targeted, direct communications at the center of their marketing activities, but rather enable consumers to self-target by their own individual choices and network preferences.

However, the shift from brand-controlled segmentation to enabled self-segmentation doesn't diminish marketers' need to understand their consumer base and to provide relevant information based on their knowledge. Consumer segmentation will continue to play a critical role in marketing, especially in identifying the right segment for a new product and incorporating segment-specific needs into the design of the product or service. It will continue to be critical in understanding the segment target for a particular product and relating the product's brand essence with the right communications strategy in a segment-specific manner.

Traditional consumer segmentation will also remain important in aligning media strategy and related intersection insights with the core segments of a particular brand, matching the right channel moment with the most appropriate segment.

But consumer segmentation and self-segmentation have now entered the stage of becoming equal forces in today's marketing discipline. And this new reality will force marketers to better balance marketing investments between targeting vs. enabling self-segmenting capabilities.


Four Ways Marketers Can Enable Consumer Self-Segmentation
  1. Build correlation clusters between purchased products and services, and serve them up as recommendations (Amazon, Apple's Genius feature).
  2. Offer networking opportunity based on self-acclaimed interests (Facebook, LinkedIn).
  3. Design and provide content or a deal-alert function that automatically informs consumers about something new or interesting in the "opted-in" interest domain of a consumer (Google Alert, Orbitz Fare Alert).
  4. Enable sharing of consumer-generated content or feedback in the context of your brand (BlueCross' "Power of the Human Voice" campaign).

Thursday, April 2, 2009

World stocks soar on recovery hopes

By Jeremy Gaunt, European Investment Correspondent

LONDON (Reuters) - World stocks powered higher on Thursday as G20 leaders prepared to boost the International Monetary Fund's finances and more signs appeared that the world economy could be recovering.

The European Central Bank was also set to cut interest rates in another move to stimulate growth.

"Market participants are becoming more convinced of a global recovery and that is causing risk appetite to increase," said Toru Umemoto, chief FX strategist Japan at Barclays Capital.

MSCI's all-country world stock index, a leading benchmark for global equities, was up 2.3 percent for a roughly 22 percent gain since early March.

It was being driven higher by strong gains in Europe that followed a jump in Asia. Wall Street also looked set for a surge at the open.

The FTSEurofirst 300 .FTEU3 index of top European shares was up 3.2 percent, on track for its third straight day of gains, helped by better-than-feared U.S. home sales and factory data.

New car registrations in Germany, Europe's biggest auto market, also leapt 40 percent in March as government incentives kicked in.

Earlier, Japan's Nikkei average .N225 gained 4.4 percent, with volume jumping to a four-month high.

G20 leaders looked set to triple the war chest of the International Monetary Fund to fight the economic crisis, according to sources at the summit.

They said the latest draft summit communique provided for a $500 billion boost to the IMF's resources, raising to $750 billion the funds it can make available to countries worst hit by the global crisis.

The ECB was also widely expected to cut interest rates by 50 basis points to 1.0 percent. Focus is also on whether the bank will announce any unconventional policy measures.

WEAKER DOLLAR

The dollar extended losses against a basket of currencies, allowing the euro to rise while the yen approached the 100 mark after the likely IMF funding move was known.

The dollar index .DXY fell 0.6 percent to 84.919 while the euro extended gains, rising around 0.9 percent to $1.3350.

Yen weakness pushed the dollar up to 99.90 yen, its highest since last November, before recovering a bit. Continued...